Odds ratio

The odds ratio (OR) (razón de monomio, in Spanish) is a relative index.

OR compares the odds from two groups.

As odds are always positive, an odds ratio is always positive.

The odds of a proportion is the quotient of the complementary proportions. It is represented as \(o\).

$$o = \frac{\pi}{1-\pi}$$

Odds of a random variable:

$$o_{X=1} = \frac{\pi_{11}}{1 – \pi_{11}} = \frac{P(Y = 1 \mid X = 1)}{1 – P(Y = 1 \mid X = 1)}$$

$$o_{X=0} = \frac{\pi_{10}}{1 – \pi_{10}} = \frac{P(Y = 1 \mid X = 0)}{1 – P(Y = 1 \mid X = 0)}$$

Odds ratio definition:

$$or_X = \frac{o_{X=1}}{o_{X=0}} = \frac{\frac{\pi_{11}}{1 – \pi_{11}}}{\frac{\pi_{10}}{1 – \pi_{10}}} = \frac{\frac{P(Y=1 \mid X=1)}{1 – P(Y=1 \mid X=1)}}{\frac{P(Y=1 \mid X=0)}{1 – P(Y=1 \mid X=0)}}$$

$$or_Y = \frac{o_{Y=1}}{o_{Y=0}} = \frac{\frac{\pi’_{11}}{1 – \pi’_{11}}}{\frac{\pi’_{10}}{1 – \pi’_{10}}} = \frac{\frac{P(X=1 \mid Y=1)}{1 – P(X=1 \mid Y=1)}}{\frac{P(X=1 \mid Y=0)}{1 – P(X=1 \mid Y=0)}}$$

Theoretical confidence interval:

$$IC(1 – \alpha)\% (\ln(or)) = \left( \widehat{E}[\ln(\widehat{OR})] \mp z_{1 – \alpha/2} \widehat{EE}[\ln(\widehat{OR})] \right)$$

where

$$\widehat{E}[\ln(\widehat{OR})] = \ln(or) = \ln\left( \frac{ad}{bc} \right)$$

and

$$\widehat{EE}[\ln(\widehat{OR})] = \sqrt{\frac{1}{a} + \frac{1}{b} + \frac{1}{c} + \frac{1}{d}}$$

Confidence interval:

$$IC(1 – \alpha)\% (or) = \left( \exp \left( \ln \left( \frac{ad}{bc} \right) \mp z_{1 – \alpha/2}
\sqrt{ \frac{1}{a} + \frac{1}{b} + \frac{1}{c} + \frac{1}{d} } \right) \right)$$

Hypothesis test formulation:

$$H_0: or = 1$$

$$H_1: or \ne 1$$

It can be calculated with the z-test of difference of proportions, Fisher’s t test or chi-squared test.

Logit transformation:

$$h(\pi)=\text{logit}(\pi)=Ln(\frac{\pi}{1-\pi})$$

Bibliography

References:

Related entries

Instance of:

  • Relative risk

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